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Liverpool's Transfers Revisited
Duncan Castles writes on Bleacher Report about the dismal transfer record of Liverpool FC under Brendan Rodgers' management. Part of the critic is the overly reliance on an analytic model in scouting...
View ArticleThe Best And Worst Champions League Finalists Ever
Inspired by Rob Brown's following tweet, we look at the best and worst Champions League finalist ever. Wondering which was the worst team to have won the Champions League. It's one of Marseille 1993,...
View ArticleNew Algorithm Released
It has been silent on the blog lately, but it wasn't a quite time. We have been busy putting together a new version of the algorithm that promises a better discriminatory power between good and better...
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Top50 Football Players - April 2015 Edition
It is nearly one year ago that we published the last "Top50" list and hence we should expect many changes. But as we also just updated the algorithm there are even more changes and the list is a bit...
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How to read a Goalimpact Chart?
Following the updated algorithm and the latest Top-50 players list, we received a lot of questions to individual players and on how to read the chart. Let's answer both in one post.Zlatan...
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Young Talent Challenge
"Predictions are difficult, especially about the future." coined Nils Bohr once famously. The equivalent in football is the scouting of future top players. Goalimpact is designed to predict future...
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How fast does Goalimpact converge?
If you saw only few games of a player, it is hard to tell if he is good or not. If you saw all games of a player in his career after he retires, you will have a pretty clear picture if he was any good....
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How good is Red Bull's Stefan Ilsanker?
One of the most surprising results of the latest top-50 list of football players, was the high ranking of Stefan Ilsanker. He was rated despite playing in the mediocre Austrian Bundesliga, albeit at...
View ArticleReader's Notice: Publication of Goalimpact
We are happy to announce that the results of the new Goalimpact algorithm are published for the Premier League and for the Bundesliga on our partner sidesPremierInsider (Premier League) andLigaInsider...
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Backtesting Bundesliga 2014/2015
This year's Bundesliga season was a special one. Not in the sense that we saw a surprise winner, but it had some features that made it feel unique. Most of all maybe Dormund's roller-coaster favorite...
View ArticleJuventus vs. FC Barcelona: Goalimpact of Lineups
Odds based on starting XI: Juventus: 18.6%, Draw: 27.3%, FC Barcelona: 54.2%. Let the game begin...JuventusPlayerGoalimpactPeak GIAgeLast National TeamNo. GamesNo. MinutesGianluigi...
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Bundesliga: Season-Ticker 2015/16
We try a new format here. This post will be regularly updated throughout the season presenting current expectations of the final season standings. Until the season starts, transfers will be the biggest...
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How many league points do 10 Goalimpact add?
If you are a club owner or fan, you would want to know how many points your team is going to have at the end of the season to judge if your team is good enough or needs reinforcement. Let's assume you...
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Young Player Challenge - July Update
A new quarter started. Time to look what our young talents are doing. Here is the list of the most talented players that are yet to turn 20. Players listed with a value of 1,500,000 € or below at...
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Top50 Football Players - July 2015 Edition
New quarter, new top-list. With the move of Stefan Ilsanker to Leipzig, one of the players with the highest Goalimpact of the world plays in the second German devision....
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Will Brentford FC get promoted to Premier League?
On the football hipster scale Brentford FC currently rates very high. Ever since Matthew Benham invested into the team with both money and knowledge, a remarkable increase in performance started. Yet...
View ArticleYoung Player Challenge - September 2015 Update
The transfer period ended and some of our talents moved to new clubs. This, in turn, affects also their market value. So time to check where we are standing. Here is the list of the most talented...
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Top-50 Football Players: September 2015 Edition
Thomas Müller expressed his satisfaction, to be "finally above Messi and Cristiano Ronaldo in a ranking". So we shouldn't let him wait to see the updated ranking. He still is in the lead after this...
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Top-50 Football Players: October 2015 Edition
Only some tweaks of the aging curve, but not algorithm change this time. Notable pointsGeorginio Wijnaldum just scored four goals in a Premier League game. We were actually surprised that no bigger...
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Bayern Munich vs. Bundesliga
Without any doubt, Bayern Munich is the best team in the Bundesliga. One of the best, possibly even the best, in the world. "But are they better than the rest of the Bundeslga combined?", asks...
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Germany National Team at Russia 2018
Source Wikipedia. Creative Commons.About a year ago, we predicted the German national team that is going to play in Russia 2018 - provided they qualify that is. Since April we have a new, better...
View ArticleTop-100 All Time
A quick data dump upon request. I leave the commenting to you guys. Just quickly the filter criteria. This includes all non-Goalkeepers in the database with at least 20000 minutes of match time that...
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FIFA World XI by Goalimpact
The FIFA didn't select the players that have the highest Goalimpact, but that isn't also to be expected. The FIFA World XI is a honor that is based on 2015 performance only, while Goalimpact is based...
View ArticleThe Best XI Ever
In Brazil in summer of 2014, Jogi Löw prepared the German national team to enter the World Cup. He took care of all the details as famously documented in the movie "Die Mannschaft". One detail he...
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Young Player Challenge - January 2016 Update
Winter break. Good time to check how did our Young Talent Challenge do since the last update. As always, here is the list of the 23 most talented players that are yet to turn 20 plus our earlier picks...
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