Brazil vs Netherlands: Goalimpact of Lineups
BrazilPlayerGoalimpactPeak GIAgeTeamNo. GamesNo. MinutesJúlio César116.7116.734.8Toronto FC38535600Thiago Silva129.3135.129.8Paris Saint-Germain27825090David Luiz132.0135.127.2Chelsea...
View ArticleGermany vs Argentina 1:0 n.V.
DeutschlandPlayerGoalimpactPeak GIAgeTeamNo. GamesNo. MinutesManuel Neuer169.6169.628.3Bayern München40738098Benedikt Höwedes127.9128.826.3FC Schalke 0428224031Mats Hummels155.1156.625.5Borussia...
View ArticleRussia 2018: German National Team
Source Wikipedia. Creative Commons.The World Cup in Brazil is over. While the celebrations are still going on, it is time for Germany to start the next mission; defending the title. Some of the cup...
View ArticlePredicting Future National Teams
Our prediction on the German national team that will play in Russia 2018 four years from now, caused some discussions. Some were finding the selections great, some were missing some players that are...
View ArticleRB Salzburg - Rapid Wien 6:1
Red Bull Salzburg takes the pole position in the Austrian Bundesliga right from the start and, frankly, is unlikely to ever lose it again. Even the second team in the league, Rapid Wien, is no match to...
View ArticleSkill and Luck in Bundesliga
Comparing the Bundesliga outcome with Goalimpact pre-season prediction, we find a close alignment. As Goalimpact is a pure player rating system that omits team factors, this indicates that the player...
View ArticleSupercopa 2014: Real Madrid - Atlético Madrid: Goalimpact of Linups
Real Madrid would be the favorite even if it would field their worst eleven players. Not sure how to value the home field advantage in this on. Here are the odds based on the starting XIs depending on...
View ArticleSeason Prediction
In lack of time, we just publish the pre-season estimates as plain table. For those leagues that started already, the few games so far have been ignored.Premier LeagueRankTeamGoalimpactPeak...
View ArticleBayern München vs VfL Wolfsburg: Goalimpact of Lineups
The odds based on starting XI show Bayern as clear favorite. But Goalimpact is slightly more skeptical than the betting markets. This is at least partly due to the low ratings of Bernat and...
View ArticleHertha BSC vs Werder Bremen: Goalimpact of Lineups
Based on the starting XI, Hertha BSC is a 57.0% favorite to win this match. Draw probability is 26.3%, and Werder Bremen might be lucky to get three points with a 16.7% chance. Thus Goalimpact is more...
View ArticleBorussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen: Goalimpact of Lineups
Dortmund has the slightly better starting XI and due to the home field advantage are expected to win. Betfair favors Dortmund slightly more.Borussia Dortmund: 51.9%Draw: 28.0%Bayer Leverkusen:...
View ArticleManchester City vs Liverpool FC: Goalimpact of Lineups
Manchester City has the stronger starting XI and the home field advantage on their side. This makes Liverpool have only outsider chances on a win, though a draw is not very unlikely. All in all,...
View ArticleHamburger SV vs SC Paderborn 07: Goalimpact of Lineups
Given the starting players and the home field advantage, HSVis the clear favorite. However, Paderborn seems to have better players on the bench then on the field. Maybe they opted for experience and...
View ArticleWerder Bremen vs 1899 Hoffenheim: Goalimpact of Lineups
Hoffenheim is the better team, but his is overcompensated by the home field advantage. Goalimpact is more optimistic then the betting markets when it comes to Werder's chances to keep a point or three...
View ArticleFC Schalke 04 - Bayern München: Goalimpact of Lineups
Odds based on starting XI: FC Schalke 04: 29.9% (Home), draw: 30.6%, Bayern München: 39.5%FC Schalke 04PlayerGoalimpactPeak GIAgeLast National TeamNo. GamesNo. MinutesSidney...
View ArticleBayern München vs Manchester City: Goalimpact of Lineups
Odds based on starting XI: Bayern München: 57.8%, draw: 26.0%, Manchester City: 16.3%Bayern MünchenPlayerGoalimpactPeak GIAgeLast National TeamNo. GamesNo. MinutesMehdi...
View ArticleChelsea FC vs FC Schalke 04 Lineups
Odds based on starting XI: Chelsea FC: 58.9%, draw: 25.5%, FC Schalke 04: 15.6%Chelsea FCPlayerGoalimpactPeak GIAgeLast National TeamNo. GamesNo. MinutesNemanja Matic119.3119.526.1Serbien14611585Cesc...
View ArticlePartizan Belgrad vs Tottenham Hotspur
Tottemham has the better starting XI, but due to the home field advantage Partizan is expected to win.Partizan: 46.9%Draw: 29.4%Tottenham Hotspur: 23.8%PartizanPlayerGoalimpactPeak GIAgeLast National...
View ArticleEverton FC vs VfL Wolfsburg: Lineups
The starting XIs are about equal if only a slight advantage for Wolfsburg. But the home field advantage fives Everton the edge,Everton FC: 48.9%Draw: 28.9%VfL Wolfsburg: 22.3%Everton...
View ArticleFC Schalke 04 - Borussia Dortmund: Goalimpact of Lineups
Dortmund has a much better starting XI, but the home field advantage gives Schalke a slight edge. Still, the probability of an draw is rather high. This is in contrast to the betting markets that see...
View Article