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Brazil vs Netherlands: Goalimpact of Lineups

BrazilPlayerGoalimpactPeak GIAgeTeamNo. GamesNo. MinutesJúlio César116.7116.734.8Toronto FC38535600Thiago Silva129.3135.129.8Paris Saint-Germain27825090David Luiz132.0135.127.2Chelsea...

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Germany vs Argentina 1:0 n.V.

DeutschlandPlayerGoalimpactPeak GIAgeTeamNo. GamesNo. MinutesManuel Neuer169.6169.628.3Bayern München40738098Benedikt Höwedes127.9128.826.3FC Schalke 0428224031Mats Hummels155.1156.625.5Borussia...

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Russia 2018: German National Team

Source Wikipedia. Creative Commons.The World Cup in Brazil is over. While the celebrations are still going on, it is time for Germany to start the next mission; defending the title. Some of the cup...

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Predicting Future National Teams

Our prediction on the German national team that will play in Russia 2018 four years from now, caused some discussions. Some were finding the selections great, some were missing some players that are...

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RB Salzburg - Rapid Wien 6:1

Red Bull Salzburg takes the pole position in the Austrian Bundesliga right from the start and, frankly, is unlikely to ever lose it again. Even the second team in the league, Rapid Wien, is no match to...

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Skill and Luck in Bundesliga

Comparing the Bundesliga outcome with Goalimpact pre-season prediction, we find a close alignment. As Goalimpact is a pure player rating system that omits team factors, this indicates that the player...

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Supercopa 2014: Real Madrid - Atlético Madrid: Goalimpact of Linups

Real Madrid would be the favorite even if it would field their worst eleven players. Not sure how to value the home field advantage in this on. Here are the odds based on the starting XIs depending on...

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Season Prediction

In lack of time, we just publish the pre-season estimates as plain table. For those leagues that started already, the few games so far have been ignored.Premier LeagueRankTeamGoalimpactPeak...

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Bayern München vs VfL Wolfsburg: Goalimpact of Lineups

The odds based on starting XI show Bayern as clear favorite. But Goalimpact is slightly more skeptical than the betting markets. This is at least partly due to the low ratings of Bernat and...

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Hertha BSC vs Werder Bremen: Goalimpact of Lineups

Based on the starting XI, Hertha BSC is a 57.0% favorite to win this match. Draw probability is 26.3%, and Werder Bremen might be lucky to get three points with a 16.7% chance. Thus Goalimpact is more...

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Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer Leverkusen: Goalimpact of Lineups

Dortmund has the slightly better starting XI and due to the home field advantage are expected to win. Betfair favors Dortmund slightly more.Borussia Dortmund: 51.9%Draw: 28.0%Bayer Leverkusen:...

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Manchester City vs Liverpool FC: Goalimpact of Lineups

Manchester City has the stronger starting XI and the home field advantage on their side. This makes Liverpool have only outsider chances on a win, though a draw is not very unlikely. All in all,...

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Hamburger SV vs SC Paderborn 07: Goalimpact of Lineups

Given the starting players and the home field advantage, HSVis the clear favorite. However, Paderborn seems to have better players on the bench then on the field. Maybe they opted for experience and...

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Werder Bremen vs 1899 Hoffenheim: Goalimpact of Lineups

Hoffenheim is the better team, but his is overcompensated by the home field advantage. Goalimpact is more optimistic then the betting markets when it comes to Werder's chances to keep a point or three...

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FC Schalke 04 - Bayern München: Goalimpact of Lineups

Odds based on starting XI: FC Schalke 04: 29.9% (Home), draw: 30.6%, Bayern München: 39.5%FC Schalke 04PlayerGoalimpactPeak GIAgeLast National TeamNo. GamesNo. MinutesSidney...

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Bayern München vs Manchester City: Goalimpact of Lineups

Odds based on starting XI: Bayern München: 57.8%, draw: 26.0%, Manchester City: 16.3%Bayern MünchenPlayerGoalimpactPeak GIAgeLast National TeamNo. GamesNo. MinutesMehdi...

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Chelsea FC vs FC Schalke 04 Lineups

Odds based on starting XI: Chelsea FC: 58.9%, draw: 25.5%, FC Schalke 04: 15.6%Chelsea FCPlayerGoalimpactPeak GIAgeLast National TeamNo. GamesNo. MinutesNemanja Matic119.3119.526.1Serbien14611585Cesc...

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Partizan Belgrad vs Tottenham Hotspur

Tottemham has the better starting XI, but due to the home field advantage Partizan is expected to win.Partizan: 46.9%Draw: 29.4%Tottenham Hotspur: 23.8%PartizanPlayerGoalimpactPeak GIAgeLast National...

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Everton FC vs VfL Wolfsburg: Lineups

The starting XIs are about equal if only a slight advantage for Wolfsburg. But the home field advantage fives Everton the edge,Everton FC: 48.9%Draw: 28.9%VfL Wolfsburg: 22.3%Everton...

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FC Schalke 04 - Borussia Dortmund: Goalimpact of Lineups

Dortmund has a much better starting XI, but the home field advantage gives Schalke a slight edge. Still, the probability of an draw is rather high. This is in contrast to the betting markets that see...

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