Given the starting XI, FC Barcelona is expected to win at Atletico Madrid by a narrow margin of 0.12 goals. This is a tight match.
Atletico Madrid
| Player | Goalimpact | Peak GI | Age | Team | No. Games | No. Minutes |
| Thibaut Courtois | 130.6 | 130.6 | 21.9 | Belgien | 196 | 18188 |
| Diego Godín | 122.3 | 127.3 | 28.1 | Uruguay | 327 | 29377 |
| Filipe Luís | 123.4 | 128.8 | 28.7 | Brasilien | 296 | 25671 |
| Juanfran | 117.7 | 123.5 | 29.3 | Spanien | 352 | 26439 |
| Miranda | 133.3 | 139.3 | 29.6 | Brasilien | 316 | 28549 |
| Tiago | 107.9 | 135.0 | 32.9 | Portugal | 359 | 25045 |
| Koke | 119.8 | 134.1 | 22.3 | Spanien | 179 | 11724 |
| Raúl García | 120.5 | 124.8 | 27.8 | Spanien [U21] | 391 | 25960 |
| Gabi | 114.8 | 127.1 | 30.8 | 376 | 29350 | |
| Adrián | 110.4 | 111.0 | 26.3 | Spanien Olymp. | 286 | 18191 |
| David Villa | 136.1 | 160.6 | 32.3 | Spanien | 507 | 38650 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Aranzubía | 94.6 | 94.6 | 34.5 | Spanien Olymp. | 369 | 34102 |
| Toby Alderweireld | 142.5 | 145.7 | 25.1 | Belgien | 203 | 17977 |
| Emiliano Insúa | 112.9 | 115.6 | 25.3 | Argentinien | 169 | 14685 |
| Mario Suárez | 117.2 | 119.9 | 27.1 | Spanien | 216 | 15654 |
| Cristian Rodríguez | 108.0 | 113.3 | 28.5 | Uruguay | 318 | 18071 |
| José Sosa | 115.6 | 121.1 | 28.8 | Argentinien | 355 | 23192 |
| Carlos Ramos | 84.4 | 120.5 | 19.6 | 1 | 71 | |
FC Barcelona
| Player | Goalimpact | Peak GI | Age | Team | No. Games | No. Minutes |
| Pinto | 76.5 | 76.5 | 38.4 | 222 | 20264 | |
| Bartra | 127.4 | 137.6 | 23.3 | Spanien [U21] | 118 | 9847 |
| Jordi Alba | 120.2 | 123.6 | 25.0 | Spanien | 237 | 18081 |
| Dani Alves | 178.2 | 192.0 | 30.9 | Brasilien | 538 | 46090 |
| Cesc Fàbregas | 179.7 | 181.9 | 26.9 | Spanien | 494 | 37445 |
| Xavi | 145.9 | 179.9 | 34.2 | Spanien | 762 | 61995 |
| Iniesta | 157.2 | 163.3 | 29.9 | Spanien | 524 | 37095 |
| Javier Mascherano | 165.2 | 171.3 | 29.8 | Argentinien | 451 | 38387 |
| Busquets | 154.9 | 155.9 | 25.8 | Spanien | 304 | 24390 |
| Lionel Messi | 182.1 | 184.0 | 26.8 | Argentinien | 459 | 37457 |
| Neymar | 115.2 | 129.9 | 22.2 | Brasilien | 191 | 15272 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Oier | 99.9 | 99.9 | 24.6 | 58 | 5377 | |
| Martín Montoya | 129.2 | 140.4 | 23.0 | Spanien [U21] | 128 | 10800 |
| Adriano | 131.0 | 136.8 | 29.4 | Brasilien | 357 | 25654 |
| Alex Song | 141.8 | 143.2 | 26.6 | Kamerun | 340 | 26760 |
| Sergi Roberto | 113.8 | 128.5 | 22.2 | Spanien [U21] | 127 | 8881 |
| Pedro | 145.3 | 147.0 | 26.7 | Spanien | 280 | 18212 |
| Alexis Sánchez | 137.4 | 139.8 | 25.3 | Chile | 334 | 22408 |