Dortmund has a much better starting XI, but the home field advantage gives Schalke a slight edge. Still, the probability of an draw is rather high. This is in contrast to the betting markets that see Dortmund as a 50% favorite.
It maybe is also a function of the much better bench of Dortmund. With Schmelzer, Kagawa and Jojic, they have three additional 110+ players to bring into play. Schalke only has Kaan Ayhan.
Odds based on starting XI: FC Schalke 04: 43.4% (Home), draw: 30.1%, Borussia Dortmund: 26.6%
It maybe is also a function of the much better bench of Dortmund. With Schmelzer, Kagawa and Jojic, they have three additional 110+ players to bring into play. Schalke only has Kaan Ayhan.
Odds based on starting XI: FC Schalke 04: 43.4% (Home), draw: 30.1%, Borussia Dortmund: 26.6%
FC Schalke 04
| Player | Goalimpact | Peak GI | Age | Last National Team | No. Games | No. Minutes |
| Dennis Aogo | 95.0 | 99.8 | 27.7 | Deutschland | 299 | 23585 |
| Sidney Sam | 121.5 | 123.2 | 26.6 | Deutschland | 250 | 17064 |
| Joel Matip | 113.2 | 121.3 | 23.1 | Kamerun | 223 | 18325 |
| Klaas-Jan Huntelaar | 140.9 | 157.7 | 31.1 | Niederlande | 442 | 35383 |
| Marco Höger | 113.3 | 115.7 | 24.9 | 149 | 11695 | |
| Atsuto Uchida | 117.1 | 118.4 | 26.4 | Japan | 233 | 20211 |
| Roman Neustädter | 129.8 | 131.3 | 26.5 | 264 | 21690 | |
| Ralf Fährmann | 101.1 | 117.3 | 25.9 | 118 | 10921 | |
| Maxim Choupo-Moting | 98.1 | 99.4 | 25.4 | Kamerun | 195 | 11581 |
| Kevin Prince Boateng | 106.8 | 111.2 | 27.5 | Ghana | 294 | 21404 |
| Max Meyer | 107.8 | 143.8 | 18.9 | Deutschland [U19] | 93 | 6314 |
| Average | 113.1 | 121.7 | 25.8 | |||
| Bench | ||||||
| Chinedu Obasi | 108.8 | 114.9 | 28.3 | Nigeria | 161 | 10922 |
| Tranquillo Barnetta | 109.8 | 116.8 | 29.3 | Schweiz | 347 | 24404 |
| Marcel Sobottka | 91.3 | 113.2 | 20.3 | 96 | 8515 | |
| Christian Wetklo | 98.2 | 98.5 | 34.7 | 183 | 16799 | |
| Christian Clemens | 98.7 | 106.8 | 23.1 | Deutschland [U21] | 168 | 11712 |
| Christian Fuchs | 105.6 | 111.8 | 28.4 | Österreich | 381 | 31156 |
| Kaan Ayhan | 116.7 | 142.9 | 19.8 | Türkei [U21] | 92 | 7718 |
| Average | 104.2 | 115.0 | 26.3 | |||
Borussia Dortmund
| Player | Goalimpact | Peak GI | Age | Last National Team | No. Games | No. Minutes |
| Sven Bender | 122.0 | 123.4 | 25.3 | Deutschland | 255 | 17719 |
| ?ukasz Piszczek | 131.0 | 138.0 | 29.3 | Polen | 270 | 21691 |
| Erik Durm | 105.1 | 116.2 | 22.3 | Deutschland [U21] | 124 | 9634 |
| Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang | 109.9 | 111.7 | 25.2 | Gabun | 240 | 17009 |
| Matthias Ginter | 107.2 | 127.6 | 20.6 | Deutschland [U21] | 132 | 11967 |
| Roman Weidenfeller | 142.5 | 143.2 | 34.1 | 415 | 38371 | |
| Adrián Ramos | 107.8 | 114.2 | 28.6 | Kolumbien | 221 | 17924 |
| Kevin Großkreutz | 133.9 | 134.2 | 26.1 | Deutschland [U21] | 316 | 24589 |
| Mats Hummels | 157.4 | 158.0 | 25.7 | Deutschland | 303 | 26560 |
| Ciro Immobile | 105.2 | 108.5 | 24.5 | Italien | 143 | 9987 |
| Neven Suboti? | 151.0 | 151.6 | 25.8 | Serbien | 286 | 26346 |
| Average | 124.8 | 129.7 | 26.1 | |||
| Bench | ||||||
| Joseph-Claude Gyau | 97.2 | 109.7 | 21.9 | 96 | 6261 | |
| Shinji Kagawa | 122.2 | 123.4 | 25.5 | Japan | 171 | 12794 |
| Sokratis Papastathopoulos | 106.7 | 107.4 | 26.3 | Griechenland | 253 | 20876 |
| Marcel Schmelzer | 141.9 | 143.7 | 26.6 | Deutschland | 251 | 21777 |
| Mitsuru Maruoka | 78.0 | 117.4 | 18.7 | 17 | 1105 | |
| Mitchell Langerak | 109.9 | 125.2 | 26.0 | 60 | 5432 | |
| Miloš Jojic | 110.7 | 121.2 | 22.4 | Serbien [U21] | 76 | 4965 |
| Average | 109.5 | 121.1 | 23.9 | |||
