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Top-50 Football Players - January 2014 edition

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A fresh top list of all football players as a start in the new year. There were only small changes to the previous month. This is a result from many leagues being closed for parts of December. However, we still have two new entrances.

RankPlayerGoalimpactPlayer AgePeakGITeamNationalityPrevious
Rank
GI Diff
1Cristiano Ronaldo195.928.9200.7Real MadridPortugal1-0.0
2Philipp Lahm192.130.2198.7Bayern MünchenDeutschland2-1.6
3Bastian Schweinsteiger181.729.4186.8Bayern MünchenDeutschland3-0.3
4Cesc Fàbregas179.126.7180.6FC BarcelonaSpanien4+0.9
5Lionel Messi174.526.5175.6FC BarcelonaArgentinien5-1.8
6Dani Alves171.130.7181.4FC BarcelonaBrasilien6-0.3
7Wayne Rooney170.628.2175.0Manchester UnitedEngland7+1.4
8Iker Casillas166.532.6166.5Real MadridSpanien8+0.2
9Javier Mascherano165.429.6170.6FC BarcelonaArgentinien10+1.8
10Manuel Neuer164.427.8164.4Bayern MünchenDeutschland11+2.2
11Xabi Alonso164.332.1184.6Real MadridSpanien9-1.1
12Zlatan Ibrahimovic161.732.3182.9Paris Saint-GermainSchweden14+2.0
13Sergio Ramos161.327.8165.0Real MadridSpanien12-0.7
14Mesut Özil159.825.3162.0Arsenal FCDeutschland13-0.3
15Thomas Müller159.424.3164.1Bayern MünchenDeutschland18+1.5
16Petr Cech159.031.6159.0Chelsea FCTschechien15-0.5
17John Terry157.533.1183.4Chelsea FCEngland16-1.3
18Victor Valdés157.532.0157.5FC BarcelonaSpanien17-0.9
19Patrice Evra156.532.7179.9Manchester UnitedFrankreich19+1.9
20Iniesta153.829.7159.1FC BarcelonaSpanien20-0.0
21Gaël Clichy153.628.4158.2Manchester CityFrankreich21+1.3
22Per Mertesacker152.929.3158.0Arsenal FCDeutschland23+1.4
23Arjen Robben152.129.9157.6Bayern MünchenNiederlande22+0.2
24Mats Hummels151.325.1154.0Borussia DortmundDeutschland24+0.1
25Karim Benzema151.226.0151.3Real MadridFrankreich25+0.3
26Gianluigi Buffon151.235.9151.2JuventusItalien26+0.8
27Neven Subotic150.325.1152.9Borussia DortmundSerbien27+0.2
28Busquets149.825.5151.3FC BarcelonaSpanien31+2.1
29João Moutinho149.427.3152.2AS MonacoPortugal29+0.3
30Gregory van der Wiel148.825.9149.1Paris Saint-GermainNiederlande30+0.4
31Helton148.135.7148.1FC PortoBrasilien32+0.8
32Ashley Cole147.933.0173.5Chelsea FCEngland28-1.4
33Piqué146.526.9148.4FC BarcelonaSpanien33+0.7
34Marcelo144.825.7145.8Real MadridBrasilien37+0.3
35Darijo Srna144.731.7162.1Shakhtar DonetskKroatien34-0.6
36Jan Vertonghen144.626.7146.1Tottenham HotspurBelgien35-0.2
37Pepe Reina144.431.3144.4SSC NapoliSpanien38+0.0
38Johnny Heitinga143.630.2150.1Everton FCNiederlande39-0.5
39Kun Agüero143.625.6144.7Manchester CityArgentinien40+0.8
40Rafael van der Vaart143.430.9155.2Hamburger SVNiederlande36-1.1
41Marcel Schmelzer142.925.9143.1Borussia DortmundDeutschland41+0.2
42Jérôme Boateng142.925.3144.8Bayern MünchenDeutschland44+1.2
43Toby Alderweireld142.924.8146.1Atletico MadridBelgien45+1.3
44Mario Gómez142.428.5147.0ACF FiorentinaDeutschland42-0.3
45Ángel Di María141.625.9142.0Real MadridArgentinien46+0.5
46Fernandinho141.628.7146.2Manchester CityBrasilien55+1.9
47Luiz Gustavo141.526.4142.5VfL WolfsburgBrasilien49+0.7
48Robert Lewandowski141.325.3143.1Borussia DortmundPolen43-0.5
49Jeremain Lens141.226.1141.5Dinamo KievNiederlande48+0.3
50Wesley Sneijder141.129.6146.3GalatasarayNiederlande52+0.8



Fernandinho had is Goalimpact increase to world-class rather late
in his career. From early 2005 until Summer 2011 his expected maximum
score (PeakGI) was consistently between 120 and 130. After Summer 2011,
however, his Goalimpact increased further rather than slightly falling as would be
expected giving the football aging curve. This was also reflected in the sudden
raise in market value on transfermarkt by 20M€ in summer 2013.


Wesley Sneijder is a textbook example showing that Goalimpact works
for early talent recognition. As early as 2003, Goalimpact expected him to
peak between 140 and 145 and his expectation stayed in this narrow band
throughout his career. His Goalimpact developed exactly like expected given 
the football aging curve. Assuming it stay like this, he is likely to drop out
the Top-50 soon again.


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