Given the following starting XI, we expect a goal difference of -0.343 and thus we expect Bayern Munich to win even in Manchester with a higher probability than originally expected.
Manchester United
Player | Goalimpact | Peak GI | Age | Last National Team | No. Games | No. Minutes |
De Gea | 120.0 | 120.0 | 23.4 | Spanien [U21] | 242 | 22483 |
Phil Jones | 108.3 | 123.1 | 22.1 | England | 145 | 11687 |
Rio Ferdinand | 120.4 | 167.3 | 35.4 | England | 699 | 62981 |
Nemanja Vidic | 121.9 | 146.9 | 32.4 | Serbien | 341 | 30055 |
Alexander Büttner | 100.8 | 103.7 | 25.2 | 134 | 9637 | |
Ryan Giggs | 32.8 | 178.7 | 40.3 | Großbritannien | 940 | 71798 |
Michael Carrick | 131.1 | 157.1 | 32.7 | England | 587 | 49056 |
Antonio Valencia | 121.6 | 127.0 | 28.7 | Ecuador | 319 | 24842 |
Marouane Fellaini | 116.8 | 117.7 | 26.3 | Belgien | 299 | 25744 |
Wayne Rooney | 172.1 | 177.3 | 28.4 | England | 570 | 45830 |
Danny Welbeck | 108.9 | 118.5 | 23.3 | England | 196 | 12777 |
Bench | ||||||
Anders Lindegaard | 98.5 | 98.5 | 30.0 | Dänemark | 97 | 9020 |
Nani | 134.8 | 138.2 | 27.3 | Portugal | 318 | 22657 |
Ashley Young | 117.0 | 122.4 | 28.8 | England | 401 | 31854 |
Darren Fletcher | 115.9 | 123.5 | 30.2 | Schottland | 363 | 26743 |
Shinji Kagawa | 125.1 | 128.4 | 25.0 | Japan | 160 | 12055 |
Adnan Januzaj | 91.0 | 132.2 | 19.2 | 30 | 1859 | |
Javier Hernández | 124.0 | 124.6 | 25.8 | Mexiko | 254 | 14508 |
Bayern München
Player | Goalimpact | Peak GI | Age | Last National Team | No. Games | No. Minutes |
Manuel Neuer | 169.4 | 169.4 | 28.0 | Deutschland | 393 | 36781 |
Rafinha | 134.3 | 139.6 | 28.6 | Brasilien | 333 | 28174 |
Jérôme Boateng | 147.4 | 148.8 | 25.6 | Deutschland | 327 | 26308 |
Philipp Lahm | 188.7 | 198.2 | 30.4 | Deutschland | 567 | 50866 |
David Alaba | 132.0 | 149.1 | 21.8 | Österreich | 234 | 19148 |
Franck Ribéry | 135.4 | 149.9 | 31.0 | Frankreich | 427 | 34515 |
Javi Martínez | 125.4 | 126.8 | 25.6 | Spanien | 340 | 28091 |
Bastian Schweinsteiger | 182.0 | 188.1 | 29.7 | Deutschland | 556 | 42679 |
Toni Kroos | 139.4 | 145.4 | 24.3 | Deutschland | 288 | 20374 |
Arjen Robben | 157.5 | 165.3 | 30.2 | Niederlande | 481 | 35286 |
Thomas Müller | 161.3 | 166.3 | 24.6 | Deutschland | 313 | 24526 |
Bench | ||||||
Tom Starke | 96.8 | 96.8 | 33.0 | Deutschland [U20] | 271 | 25144 |
Daniel Van Buyten | 91.6 | 146.8 | 36.2 | Belgien | 457 | 39818 |
Xherdan Shaqiri | 130.7 | 144.0 | 22.5 | Schweiz | 207 | 13441 |
Mario Götze | 145.9 | 162.5 | 21.8 | Deutschland | 188 | 13085 |
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg | 98.8 | 145.9 | 18.7 | Dänemark [U21] | 65 | 4789 |
Mario Mandžukic | 130.9 | 135.6 | 27.8 | Kroatien | 259 | 20301 |
Claudio Pizarro | 103.8 | 151.6 | 35.5 | Peru | 602 | 44075 |